Faculty and Executive Leadership Directory | |
 | Philip E. Tetlock |
Education
BA, with Honors, University of British Columbia
MA, Psychology, University of British Columbia
PhD, Psychology, Yale University
Positions Held
At Haas since 2001
2002 - present, Mitchell Professor of Organizational Behavior, Haas School of Business (also affiliated with Psychology and Political Science)
2005 - 2006, Russell Sage Scholar
1996 - 2001, Harold Burtt Professor of Psychology and Political Science, The Ohio State University
1993 - 1994, Fellow, Center for Advanced Study in the Behavioral Sciences, Stanford University
1993 - 1995, Distinguished Professor, UC Berkeley
1987 - 1996, Professor of Psychology, UC Berkeley
1984 - 1987, Associate Professor, Department of Psychology, UC Berkeley
1980 - 1995, Research Psychologist, Survey Research Center, UC Berkeley
1979 - 1984, Assistant Professor, Department of Psychology, UC Berkeley
External Service and Assignments
- Editorial Boards in last 10 years: Annual Review of Psychology, Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, Journal of Conflict Resolution, Political Psychology, and the National Research Council's quality-control editor for its committee on interactive conflict resolution workshops.
- National Committee Service in the last 10 years: National Research Council committee on international conflict; Social Science Research Council committee on international security
- Miscellaneous Consulting Activities: Development of Group Dynamics Q-Sort (and other Remote Assessment Techniques) for the U.S. Government's Office of Leadership Analysis; Critical Analysis of Political Forecasting and Risk Assessment Techniques for U.S. Government Intelligence Agencies; Advisory Panel to HumRRO on Incorporating Bayesian Belief Updating Techniques (NETTICA) into Leadership Assessments; Expert Witness on the hypothesized power of implicit prejudice/stereotyping in the work place.
Current Research and Interests
- Learning from experience: How do experts think about possible pasts (historical counterfactuals) and probable futures (conditional forecasts)? And how do experts respond to confirmation/disconfirmation of expectations?
- Designing accountability systems: How do people cope with various types of accountability pressures and demands in their social world? When does accountability promote mindless conformity? Defensive bolstering of prior positions? Thoughtful self-critical analysis? …
- De-biasing judgment and choice. How can organization structure incentives and accountability procedures to check common cognitive biases such as belief perseverance and over-confidence? What adverse side effects can such de-biasing efforts have on quality of decision-making?
Selected Papers and Publications
- "Anti-discrimination law and the perils of mind reading," with P.G. Mitchell. The Ohio State University Law Review.
- "People as intuitive prosecutors: The impact of social control motives on attributions of responsibility," with P. Visser, et al. Journal of Experimental Social Psychology.
- "Conflicts of interest and the case of auditor independence: Moral Seduction and Strategic Issue Cycling," with D. Moore, L. Tanlu, and M. Bazerman. Academy of Management Review 31 (2006):10-29.
- "Counterfactual thought experiments: Why we can't live with them and how we must learn to live with them," with G. Parker in Unmaking the West: What-If Scenarios that Rewrite World History, edited with R.N. Lebow and G. Parker, G. 2006.
- "Attributions of Implicit Prejudice, or Would Jesse Jackson Fail the Implicit Association Test?" with H. Arkes, H. Psychological Inquiry, 15, no. 4 (2004): 257-278.
- "The implicit-prejudice exchange: Islands of consensus in a sea of controversy," with H. Arkes. Psychological Inquiry, 15, no. 4 (2004): 311-321.
- Expert Political Judgment: How Good is it? How Can we Know? Princeton University Press, 2005.
- "Social-Functionalist Metaphors for Judgment and Choice: The Intuitive Politician, Theologian, and Prosecutor." Psychological Review (2002).
- "Poking Counterfactual Holes in Covering Laws: Cognitive Styles and Historical Reasoning," with R.N. Lebow. American Political Science Review (2001).
- "Cognitive Biases in Path-Dependent Systems: Theory-Driven Reasoning About Plausible Pasts and Probable Futures in World Politics," in Inferences, Heuristics and Biases: New Directions in Judgment Under Uncertainty, edited by T. Gilovich, D. W. Griffin, and D. Kahneman. New York: Cambridge University Press, 2001.
- "Cognitive Biases and Organizational Correctives: Do Both Disease and Cure Depend on the Ideological Beholder?" Administrative Science Quarterly 45 (2000): 293-326.
- "The Psychology of the Unthinkable: Taboo Trade-Offs, Forbidden Base Rates, and Heretical Counterfactuals," with O. Kristel, B. Elson, M. Green, and J. Lerner. Journal of Personality and Social Psychology 78 (2000): 853-870.
Teaching
- Creating Effective Organizations, XMBA205
Honors and Awards
- Fellow, American Academy of Arts and Sciences, 2009
- Harold Lasswell Award for Distinguished Scientific Contribution in the Field of Political Psychology, 2008, International Society of Political Psychology
- Earl Cheit Award for Excellence in Teaching, Berkeley-Columbia Executive MBA Program, 2008
- Grawemeyer World Order Prize, 2007
- Woodrow Wilson Award for best book published on government, politics, or international affairs and Robert E. Lane Award for best book in political psychology, both from American Political Science Association in 2005, for Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?
- National Academy of Sciences Award for Behavioral Research Relevant to the Prevention of Nuclear War, 1999
- Nevitt Sanford Award for Distinguished Professional Contributions to Political Psychology, International Society of Political Psychology, 1997
- Woodrow Wilson Book Award, American Political Science Association (co-recipient with P. Sniderman & R. Brody, for Reasoning and Choice: Explorations in Political Psychology),1992
- Vice President, International Society of Political Psychology, 1991-1993
- American Association for the Advancement of Science Prize for Behavioral Science Research, 1988
- MacArthur Fellow, 1987
- Fellow of Division 8 of the American Psychological Association, 1987
- Erik H. Erikson Award of the International Society of Political Psychology, 1987
- Selected, Fellow at the Center for Advanced Study in the Behavioral Sciences, 1987
- Distinguished Scientific Award for Early Career Contribution to Social Psychology, American Psychological Association, 1986
- Governor-General's Gold Medal, Award for Undergraduate Academic Excellence, 1975
Faculty Directory: Alphabetical Listing
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